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- DTN Headline News
Hijacked Market
By Victoria G. Myers
Wednesday, July 29, 2020 1:08PM CDT

Cattle producers from one end of the country to the other are convinced their markets were long-ago hijacked by the "Big Four." Namely, they blame Cargill, JBS, National Beef and Tyson -- who collectively control more than 80% of the U.S. slaughter market for beef -- for pricing inequities.

Confidentiality agreements these buyers operate under are allegedly responsible for thin cash markets and what many cattlemen believe are absurdly low prices at the farm level. Simply put, as COVID-19 drove up beef demand and sent prices received by packers soaring, cattle producers struggled to understand why they were losing money. That struggle continues.

The visuals have been damning. Empty meat cases at the grocery store and packer margins nearly $600 per head higher mid-March than they had been a few short weeks prior poured gasoline on a long-burning fire of discontent over price reporting.

PRODUCTION DROPPED

Meatpackers blamed consumer panic buying, restaurant closures, plant shutdowns and illnesses among plant workers for a supply bottleneck that quickly pushed up prices. A look at the numbers shows production dropped precipitously in a short period of time. For the week of Feb. 22, 2020, prior to nationwide shutdowns, red meat production in the U.S. was estimated at 1,087.9 million pounds. During the last week of May 2020, beef production was at 428.6 million pounds.

In late January, when the U.S. Health and Human Services declared COVID-19 a public health emergency, Choice boxed beef cutout value was $215.32 per cwt. By mid-May, that price was reported at $475.39 per cwt -- a $260.07 per cwt increase. Producers, however, during the first quarter of the year saw prices fall for feeder cattle. By June, many were essentially forced to hold calves longer as sale barn reports pointed toward a range of $135 to $145 per cwt on 600-plus pound calves. The futures market looking to August was an anemic $95.6 to $96.9 per cwt on live cattle as reported by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME).

CALF PRICES FOLLOW FUTURES

Veteran cattle producer Bill Yancey markets about 140 calves each year. He is based at Prairie Grove, Arkansas, and often sells at the Joplin regional sales barn. He noted that regardless of what feedyards may or may not need to buy, calf prices always follow futures.

"If the futures are up, my calves are up. If they're down, so are my calves. CME has a lot more to do with my price than anything else. It seems that once the buyers that day see the CME is down, we don't have any chance of running prices up, and we have to take what they will give us. When you consider the fact that the CME doesn't have much to base its price on anymore, I feel we aren't always getting a fair deal."

As a result, Yancey said he is increasing his use of sales by video auction and is maximizing values on his calf crop with NHTC certification (Non-Hormone Treated Cattle). He still thinks, though, he and others would benefit from more price discovery.

"Packers are making money hand over fist, and our side of the industry is shrinking. I guess I'd be for a mandate to force them to buy a percentage of cattle on the cash market, but the devil is in the details. I don't like government intervention, but at this point, who is going to look out for the cow-calf producer?"

DTN livestock analyst ShayLe Stewart agreed with Yancey. She comes at the issue from the perspective of both a cow-calf producer and a professional market analyst. She lives and raises SimAngus cattle with her husband, Jimmy, in Cody, Wyoming. Stewart has long held the position there's an unfair advantage when feeder cattle sell in a competitive market yet fat cattle sell in what is essentially a noncompetitive market.

"We can't have an industry that functions properly when different segments are competing and achieving highs and lows, while others due to size and confidentiality clauses have found a way to buy behind a curtain."

Stewart noted the degree of discrepancy depends on the region in which a producer sells cattle. Northern producers, for example, see more participation in cash markets (more than 50%), while in the South, as little as 7% of sales are typically in cash trades.

A WASHINGTON SOLUTION

Clamping down on meatpackers and increasing competition and transparency when it comes to price reporting has been on Sen. Charles Grassley's (R-Iowa) bucket list for years. He first introduced legislation in 2002 to bring more transparency to cattle pricing. On May 12, 2020, he once again introduced legislation with this same goal.

This bill, cosponsored by Sens. Jon Tester (D-Mont.); Tina Smith (D-Minn.); Joni Ernst (R-Iowa); Mike Rounds (R-S.D.); Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-Miss.); and Steve Daines (R-Mont.), aims to amend the Agricultural Marketing Act(AMA), which is up for renewal in September. While the bill and its goals are not new, the timing may be perfect.

In summary, as it stood at press time, the bill requires packers to acquire no less than 50% of the cattle they will process within 14 days through spot-market cash sales from nonaffiliated producers. The sales agreement would be entered into "under circumstances in which a reasonable competitive bidding opportunity exists."

The regulation would not apply to dairy-bred, dairy-bred cross or beef animals more than 30 months of age, or a foreign-born animal. Packers who own only one processing plant are exempt under the requirements.

Some cattle market analysts have insisted what the industry has seen this year is a cattle market that works, and producers have to take the good with the bad. Others believe it's a broken system. A lot of views are on the table, any of which could impact cattle markets for years to come.

CLEAR DIVISIONS

Like everything else these days, cattle groups come in a lot of political flavors, and as such have put forth different thoughts on how to handle the issue of price discovery. Following are views shared from United States Cattlemen's Association (USCA), the National Cattlemen's Beef Association (NCBA) and Ranchers-Cattlemen Action Legal Fund (R-CALF).

USCA: Clarify price reporting. Senior policy analyst for the United States Cattlemen's Association (USCA), Jess Peterson, sees a need to clarify how existing price reporting rules and confidentiality standards are working.

USCA is a Montana-based organization with policy headquarters in Washington, D.C.

Peterson said: "The Livestock Mandatory Reporting program will expire Sept. 20, 2020. As Congress and industry stakeholders work together on needed changes to the program in the months ahead, we expect this (Grassley) bill will play a large role in our conversations."

Peterson added USCA has made price reporting a key emphasis for more than 10 years.

"When we look at the fundamentals of the cattle market, there are just screaming differences in boxed beef prices and what producers are being paid," Peterson explained. "Let's look at this and ensure the fundamentals are better aligned for the industry. You have to have a certain minimal number of cash trades to base a market on and to reflect a true value for cattle. We don't have that right now."

Peterson said price reporting modifications are possible every five years, so he isn't looking at the Grassley bill as a piece of stand-alone legislation that, once put into place, would never be touched again. There would be opportunities to refine it as needed to ensure it is working as it should for everyone.

It's especially important, he added, that cattle contracts become less challenging for those taking long positions in the market. Cash market transparency is key to accomplishing this. "The CME has tried to work with us, and I know they are actively looking for solutions. CME wants to make sure the cattle contract is working properly," he said.

"The bottom line is we can't get this done, because we have self-serving actors undercutting the cattle market. If this were happening on Wall Street or in the banking or credit sectors, it would have already been addressed."

NCBA: No on Grassley bill. South Dakota rancher Todd Wilkinson, policy division chair for the National Cattlemen's Beef Association, said what the industry doesn't need right now is a government mandate.

"Our biggest concern is not the impact on the packer but on the producer," he stressed. "I'm in an area where I deal with the negotiated cash trade daily for our family feeding operation. We are probably the highest in negotiated trades in the country. But, if there is a government mandate that the big packers have to buy 50% of their negotiated trades on a cash basis, we are concerned producers using formula pricing may face a situation where the packer can't give you a bid, because he's maxed out on the amount of formula trade purchases he can make for the period, and you have to go to the cash basis."

Wilkinson supports more cash trade, but at the same time, he doesn't want to force producers to move away from formula or grid trade.

"I think we would be taking away options," he insisted. "The seller would be limited on how they could sell, and that could be really disastrous."

A better long-term solution to thin cash markets, Wilkinson believes, is encouraging more regional packers with increased capacity. This, he said, should be the goal as opposed to a government mandate.

R-CALF: Yes to change. Ranchers-Cattlemen Action Legal Fund United Stockgrowers of America, known in cattle circles as R-CALF, is standing firmly behind the Grassley proposal.

Bill Bullard, chief executive officer of the group that built a reputation on support for mandatory country-of-origin labeling, said they have wanted to see Grassley's bill adopted since 2002.

"We worked with Senator Grassley to introduce the first version of this legislation," Bullard said. "We recognized back then the meatpackers were systematically shifting large volumes of cattle out of the cash market and placing them into their captive supplies where no cash discovery occurs."

Bullard believes the cattle industry has a dysfunctional market, and he calls the current bill "triage" to preserve the integrity of cash markets. He said the COVID-19 pandemic put a floodlight on how broken U.S. cattle markets are.

Asked if a less drastic fix is possible, such as elimination of confidentiality agreements regarding prices packers pay, Bullard said it won't be enough to solve the market's problems.

"We've argued against those guidelines, which were put into place shortly after the livestock reporting act was passed," he said. "Today, Colorado, thanks to these rules, doesn't even report prices due to that overly restrictive requirement. But, we have gone too far. Just eliminating confidentiality agreements won't restore lost bargaining power between producers and meatpackers."

**

Editor's Note: At this crucial time in the history of the American cattle producer, let your voices be heard. Contact your preferred representative organization, reach out to Sen. Charles Grassley's office, your representative, feeders and buyers. Tell all those in power positions what you think and why.

Victoria G. Myers can be reached at Vicki.Myers@dtn.com

Follow her on Twitter @myersPF


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